If current smoking patterns continue, tobacco will cause about 1 billion deaths in this century, primarily among poor populations in developing countries. This contrasts with the “mere” 100 million such deaths in the last century, which occurred mostly among those in affluent, developed nations. Smoking-related deaths are expected to increase for men in low-income countries, and for women in nations both rich and poor. Existing strategies to compel the world’s smokers to stop smoking have proven effective, particularly those which raise taxes on tobacco products. With an estimated 1.1 billion smokers worldwide, effective tobacco control may avoid several tens of millions of premature deaths and decrease social inequalities in adult mortality.
Presenter: Professor Prabhat Jha
Professor Prabhat Jha has been a key figure in epidemiology and economics of global health for the past decade. He is the University of Toronto Endowed Professor in Disease Control and Canada Research Chair at the Dalla Lana School of Public Health, and the founding Director of the Centre for Global Health Research at St. Michael's Hospital in Toronto.
Professor Jha is a lead investigator of the Million Death Study in India, which quantifies the causes of premature mortality in over 1 million homes from 1997-2014 and which examines the contribution of key risk factors such as tobacco, alcohol, diet and environmental exposures. He is co-investigator of the Disease Control Priorities Network and the author of several influential books on tobacco control, including two that helped enable a global treaty on tobacco control, now signed by over 160 countries.
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